Company research

Company researchTSE PRIME · 6328 · FY end DEC

EBARA JITSUGYO CO., LTD.

Ebara Jitsugyo designs and builds municipal water and sewer plants, sells Ebara Corporation pumps and develops its own environmental products. ROCE is about 22%. On June 30, 2026 enterprise value (EV)/OP was about 7.2x, net cash equaled roughly 21% of market value, and backlog was at a record high.

Company

EBARA JITSUGYO CO., LTD.

荏原実業株式会社

Designs and supplies water, air and waste treatment systems for municipal and industrial customers, including its own environmental products.

Last Close
¥2,446
Jun 30, 2026 · −17% from Feb-26 peak · +8% off the June low
Market Cap / EV
¥58.0bn / ¥45.7bn EV
net cash ¥12.4bn (21% of cap) · borrowings ¥1.5bn
EV / OP · forward
7.2x
Core EV/OP ~5.8x ex-securities · FY12/26E OP ¥6.3bn
ROCE · trailing
22%
up from ~18% in FY12/24 on the profit jump · ROE 17%
OP Margin · group
14.9% · grp
FY12/25 14.9% · FY12/26E 14.3% · ~548 employees
Shares & Float
23.7M sh · ~96% float
NAVF group 10.65% · Hikari 7.9% · Master Trust 11.9%
INTRODUCTION

What does EBARA JITSUGYO do?

EBARA JITSUGYO sells engineering, equipment and proprietary products that clean water, air and waste for Japan's cities and factories. The company runs three businesses. Its Engineering business wins water and sewerage plant orders directly from municipalities, then designs and builds the plant. Its Trading business resells pumps, blowers and air-conditioning equipment made by EBARA Corporation. Its Manufacturing business sells products the company develops itself, such as ozone systems, deodorization equipment and storage batteries.

The company is paid mainly by project. Each Engineering and Manufacturing order is won, built and billed, so revenue depends on the orders the company is working through. The Trading business adds steady repeat sales as customers reorder equipment. There is little pure recurring revenue, so the order backlog is how the company shows investors its future workload.

The business matters because Japan must renew aging water and sewerage infrastructure and cut carbon for decades, and EBARA JITSUGYO designs the plant that does this work. In FY12/25 the company earned ¥41.21bn of revenue and ¥6.12bn of OP, a 14.9% group OP margin. It carries net cash and needs little capital to operate, so ROCE was about 22%, a measure of how well the operating business turns the capital it uses into profit.

The stock does not reflect that quality. At ¥2,446 on June 30, 2026, the operating business was valued at about 7.2x forward EV/OP — and only about 5.8x on a Core EV/OP (cEV/OP) basis, which also strips out the ¥9.35bn of investment securities the company holds. Net cash equaled roughly 21% of the market value. The question is why investors apply a single-digit multiple to a net-cash company with a 22% ROCE, a record backlog, and an activist investor on its share register.

01 · PRICE REGIME

What has driven the stock over the past two years?

Backlog growth and municipal spending supported earnings and the shares.

6328 vs TOPIX · 24 months · daily candles + volume
Peak ¥2,960 · 2026-02-27 Trough ¥2,259 · 2026-06-03 Today ¥2,446
EBARA JITSUGYO · daily candles 60-day SMA TOPIX rebased (1308.T) Volume

01 · When investors paid up for the record year The shares reached ¥2,960 on February 27, 2026, valuing the operating business at about 9–10x EV/OP. The move followed a run of good news. On February 9, 2026 the company reported record FY12/25 results, with OP up 44.0% YoY, authorized a ¥1.0bn buyback, and raised its payout target. A week later news that an activist had filed shareholder proposals added to the optimism. Investors were paying for a record year and the prospect of more cash being returned.

02 · When the multiple fell back From the peak the shares fell about 17% to a low of ¥2,259 on June 3, 2026. Two things drove the de-rating. First, small-cap and value stocks were sold across Tokyo through the 2Q, and EBARA JITSUGYO trades thinly. Second, the activist's three proposals were rejected at the March 24, 2026 annual meeting, which told the market that minority holders could not force the cash off the balance sheet. The multiple compressed even though earnings did not fall.

03 · When the 1Q print and the buyback landed On May 11, 2026 the company reported its 1Q for FY12/26, with OP up 15.9% YoY and the order backlog up 19.6% YoY to ¥32.77bn — a record. The buyback was running underneath the price: by June 4, 2026 the company had purchased 289,000 of the authorized 600,000 shares for ¥730.9mn, and on July 10, 2026 the company announced the program had completed at 402,900 shares for ¥999.9mn. The operating numbers kept improving while the share price stayed near its low.

04 · Where the stock stands now The stock closed at ¥2,446 on June 30, 2026 — up about 8% off the June low and about 17% below the February peak. The shares traded at roughly 7.2x forward EV/OP. Net cash is worth 21% of the market value, the order backlog is at a record, the ¥1.0bn buyback completed on July 10, 2026 (402,900 shares for ¥999.9mn — effectively the full authorization), and the activist remains on the share register.

02 · CONTENTION

What investors disagree about

Valuation, backlog quality, and cross-holdings define the discount.

DEBATE 01 · VALUATION
Is 7x too cheap for a net-cash, 22%-ROCE company, or is it fair?

Standard EV/OP removes only net cash, so 7.2x is one read. Strip the ¥9.35bn of investment securities as well — the Core EV/OP (cEV/OP) — and the operating business is priced at about 5.8x. What matters is whether that is too cheap for a 22% ROCE business, or whether the idle cash and securities deserve a discount.

BULL
  • A 7x multiple looks low for a 22%-ROCE operating business. Reducing net cash and cross-holdings would expose more of that return to shareholders and make the comparison with water-treatment peers cleaner.
BEAR
  • The multiple may be fair. The balance sheet holds ¥12.4bn of net cash and ¥9.35bn of investment securities that earn little, so the headline returns are flattered by capital that is not working.
DEBATE 02 · GROWTH
Is the record backlog a durable runway, or just lumpy project work?

The company books an order, then converts it to revenue as it builds. Order backlog of ¥32.77bn is the work already won. What matters is whether that backlog reflects a steady pipeline of infrastructure renewal, or whether a few large one-off contracts make the growth look more durable than it is.

BULL
  • Demand is structural because Japan must renew water and sewerage plants and lower their carbon footprint. The long-term vision and ¥32.8bn backlog give EBARA JITSUGYO a runway, provided Engineering converts the work without sacrificing margin.
BEAR
  • The growth is lumpy. 1Q orders rose 40.5% YoY, but a single ¥2.7bn marine-seed-production order in the Manufacturing business flattered that figure, and Engineering revenue actually fell in the quarter.
  • The company's 378 certified engineers cap how much work it can build at once.
DEBATE 03 · CROSS-HOLDING
Why must EBARA JITSUGYO own EBARA, when EBARA barely owns it?

To cement its role as EBARA Corporation's authorized distributor, the company holds 1,095,788 EBARA (6361) shares — worth about ¥6.86bn at the latest close, or roughly 15% of EV. EBARA holds just 0.24% of the company back, and none as a reciprocal cross-holding. The capital tie runs one way.

BULL
  • The EBARA stake is a valuable asset that the operating multiple largely ignores. Combined with ¥12.4bn of net cash, it gives management a large pool of capital that could be returned or reinvested.
BEAR
  • The tie is a one-way dependency. Management can keep the stake for "relationship" reasons indefinitely, and the activist that tried to force the cash out lost the March 2026 vote.

A note on the 1Q order jump. The 1Q order surge of 40.5% did not come from the core Engineering business. It came from Manufacturing, where orders rose 281.9% YoY on a single large land-based aquaculture water-treatment facility plus medical hygiene equipment for government buyers. Engineering orders actually fell 4.1% YoY, and its sales held up only on the existing backlog. So the headline order growth is a one-off, not a durable increase in the core run-rate.

03 · CATALYST

Capital-Efficiency Levers

Management can address the discount without waiting for higher earnings.

LEVER 01 · CAPITAL POLICY
Deploy the ¥12.4bn net cash and ¥9.35bn of investment securities
Idle capital vs capital returned (¥bn)
Net cash
¥12.4bn
Investment securities
¥9.35bn
Buyback authorized
¥1.0bn
Buyback done
¥1.0bn (completed)
the completed buyback is small next to the cash and securities still on the balance sheet
  • Net cash equals 21% of the market value and the investment securities earn little, so a credible plan to reduce both would lift the value attributed to shareholders.
  • A stated capital-return framework, a target cash level, and a timetable to run that stake off would turn one-off actions into a policy investors can rely on.
What it takes
One board resolution
When it could happen
FY12/26 results · Feb 2027
LEVER 02 · GROWTH
Convert the ¥32.8bn backlog toward the ¥60bn FY12/30 vision
Backlog and the path to the long-term vision (¥bn sales)
Order backlog (1Q)
¥32.8bn
FY12/26 guidance
¥44.0bn
FY12/27 plan
¥45.0bn
FY12/30 vision
¥60.0bn
backlog covers near-term sales, but the step to the FY12/30 vision needs new business areas
  • A record ¥32.8bn backlog already supports near-term sales. The important question is whether Engineering converts that work at a steady margin after the one-off marine order. Consistent quarterly orders and revenue would show that the path toward the FY12/30 vision is real.
What it takes
Growth + R&D spend
When it could happen
Each quarterly order print
LEVER 03 · DISCLOSURE
Close the gap between a 7x multiple and a 22% ROCE with clearer disclosure
Where EBARA JITSUGYO sits on forward EV/OP
EBARA JITSUGYO (6328)
7.2x
Tsukishima (6332)
8.2x
Metawater (9551)
9.5x
Kurita (6370)
16.8x
Organo (6368)
18.8x
EBARA JITSUGYO is priced with the plant contractors, far below the premium water-treatment names
  • A cost-of-capital management policy, order disclosure by segment, a run-off timetable for cross-holdings, and a stated capital-return framework would let investors value the operating business closer to the water-treatment band.
What it takes
Disclosure + policy
When it could happen
Integrated report · 2026
04 · VALUATION

Scenario Pathways

The cases start from ¥2,446 and FY12/26 OP guidance.

BEAR SCENARIO
¥2,050 – ¥2,350
−16% to −4%
implied multiple · ~6–7x EV/OP (fwd)
In the bear case, the market keeps treating EBARA JITSUGYO as over-capitalized: the multiple stays at ~6–7x, the cash and securities stay idle, and the small-cap discount holds.

Even here, net cash limits the downside: it is worth ~21% of the current market value, a cushion that would matter in any strategic valuation.

BASE SCENARIO
¥2,900 – ¥3,400
+19% to +39%
implied multiple · ~8–10x EV/OP (fwd)
The multiple moves toward the plant-contractor top end as buybacks continue and management delivers one clear capital-efficiency step — a cross-holding run-off or a stated capital-return framework.
BULL SCENARIO
¥3,700 – ¥4,300
+51% to +76%
implied multiple · ~11–13x EV/OP (fwd)
The cash and securities are deployed and investors re-rate the operating business toward the water-treatment band, while backlog conversion and acquisitions begin to underwrite the FY12/30 vision.

The implied fundamental value could be higher: the sum-of-parts below points to ¥2,940–4,000 if investors give the cash and the cross-holding close to full value.

SUM-OF-PARTS · OPERATING BUSINESS
Engineering, Trading and Manufacturing — the three water and environmental businesses
FY12/26E OP¥6,300M
FY12/26E revenue · growth¥44,000M · +6.8%
Group OP margin~14.3% (FY12/25 14.9%)
Order backlog (1Q)¥32.77bn · +19.6%
Assumed EV / OP8–12x
Implied operating EV ~¥50.4–75.6bn at 8–12x — base case 9–10x is about ¥56.7–63.0bn.
SUM-OF-PARTS · NET CASH + SECURITIES
Net cash plus a securities pile dominated by one EBARA stake
Net cash (1Q FY12/26)¥12,360M
Net cash / market cap21%
Investment securities (fair value)¥9,349M
— of which EBARA (6361)¥6,855M
Deferred tax on gains~−¥2,200M
The EBARA stake is marked at June 30. Net of deferred tax, securities are worth about ¥7.0bn; no illiquidity haircut applies because the stake is liquid.
PEER MULTIPLE LADDER · forward EV / OP
Domestic water and environmental engineers (live June 30 prices; each name's own forward OP guidance)
Maezawa Holdings (575A)~6.3x*
EBARA JITSUGYO (6328)~7.2x · cEV 5.8x
Tsukishima Holdings (6332)~8.2x
Metawater (9551)~9.5x
Kurita Water Industries (6370)~16.8x
Organo (6368)~18.8x
Forward basis, except Maezawa's trailing OP because guidance is pending. Kurita and Organo carry net debt; the others net cash. EV excludes lease liabilities.
PEER MULTIPLE LADDER · what each peer does
Why the comparison is fair, and where it is not
Tsukishima (6332)sludge / water-treatment plant EPC
Metawater (9551)water & sewage plant build + O&M
Kurita (6370)water-treatment chemicals + facilities
Organo (6368)ultrapure water for semiconductors
Tsukishima and Metawater match the public-plant model. Kurita and Organo deserve premiums for recurring chemicals and semiconductors, which EBARA JITSUGYO lacks.
EQUITY BRIDGE · implied value per share
Operating EV plus net cash plus securities, divided by ex-treasury shares
Operating EV (8–12x FY12/26E OP)¥50.4–75.6bn
+ Net cash (full value)¥12.36bn
+ Securities (fair value, net of tax)¥7.0bn
= Implied equity value¥69.8–95.0bn
÷ ex-treasury shares23,727,118
= Implied value per share¥2,940–4,000
vs ¥2,446 close+20% to +64%
The mid-case is about ¥3,450 per share. Buybacks would raise the implied value if they reduce the share count below this assumption.
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